Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.239395 0.282557 0.328564 0.380975 0.438754 0.500244 0.570365
2024-11-03 0.185334 0.244260 0.311478 0.392727 0.487186 0.592513 0.717801
2024-11-10 0.146442 0.214855 0.298032 0.403986 0.532808 0.681958 0.865279
2024-11-17 0.110095 0.181372 0.273980 0.398210 0.555751 0.744477 0.983204
2024-11-24 0.086680 0.159897 0.261161 0.403410 0.590418 0.820843 1.119131
2024-12-01 0.065343 0.136710 0.242242 0.397599 0.609153 0.876876 1.230942
2024-12-08 0.046736 0.113147 0.218917 0.382470 0.613231 0.912996 1.317643
2024-12-15 0.037426 0.102701 0.213189 0.390712 0.647962 0.988605 1.455259
2024-12-22 0.027236 0.087653 0.197773 0.382717 0.658839 1.032211 1.551865
2024-12-29 0.023139 0.083672 0.199854 0.400832 0.706753 1.125964 1.715231
2025-01-05 0.017539 0.074453 0.191375 0.401311 0.728555 1.184252 1.832438
2025-01-12 0.013333 0.066924 0.184681 0.403689 0.752615 1.245606 1.954276
2025-01-19 0.010681 0.062671 0.183894 0.416163 0.792950 1.331621 2.112553
2025-01-26 0.008596 0.059148 0.183993 0.429934 0.835520 1.421553 2.277606
2025-02-02 0.006815 0.055679 0.183643 0.442704 0.876754 1.510286 2.442356
2025-02-09 0.004480 0.048280 0.173486 0.437043 0.888502 1.556662 2.549290
2025-02-16 0.003196 0.044142 0.169915 0.442876 0.918406 1.629585 2.693810
2025-02-23 0.001902 0.038089 0.160529 0.436864 0.928555 1.673445 2.798035
2025-03-02 0.000874 0.031000 0.146721 0.420842 0.921112 1.690603 2.864393
2025-03-09 0.000549 0.028800 0.145585 0.429697 0.955300 1.770281 3.020208
2025-03-16 0.000206 0.024207 0.136393 0.421209 0.959441 1.804423 3.111152
2025-03-23 0.000142 0.023961 0.140415 0.440549 1.011918 1.912746 3.309772
2025-03-30 0.000045 0.021226 0.135821 0.441074 1.031495 1.970869 3.436452